FanBoardHQ

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina University · 2023 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#63
Efficiency
-0.4
65th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
Coastal Carolina Fanboard →

Coastal Carolina went 8-5 and was ranked 63rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Offense (68th) and defense (68th) were about even. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 38th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 76th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
1-1
Q3
1-0
Q4
6-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
59th
-2.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
92nd
full season
92nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
89th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ UCLAPac-12#34L 1327-13.80%-3.0Q1
2vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#62W 3016+5.5100%8.5Q4
3vs DuquesneNECW 667+30.2100%21.2Q4
4vs Georgia StateSun Belt#77L 1730+8.60%-21.7Q4
5@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#95L 2838+5.70%-15.4Q4
7@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#52W 2724-5.9100%5.9Q2
8@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#91W 2717+6.3100%5.4Q4
9vs MarshallSun Belt#86W 346+10.9100%23.8Q4
10@ Old DominionSun Belt#89W 2824+5.8100%-3.0Q4
11vs Texas StateSun Belt#71W 3123+5.3100%6.5Q4
12@ ArmyFBS Independents#83L 2128+4.60%-17.6Q4
13vs James MadisonSun Belt#27L 1456-6.10%-31.8Q2
Postseason
vs San José StateMountain West#67W 2414-2.1100%12.6Q3

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Coastal Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.3-4.0+19.4-3921-22-156524-36-18-32Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 38th
SR 51stYPP 28thEPA 31st
RushingEff 76th
SR 83rdYPP 66thEPA 79th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 31st
SR 50thYPP 53rdEPA 22nd
Rush defenseEff 88th
SR 101stYPP 49thEPA 89th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo +6.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 79th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 79.0Q1 · Allowed: 51.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 94.0Q2 · Allowed: 88.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 90.0Q3 · Allowed: 69.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 75.0Q4 · Allowed: 89.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledCoastal CarolinaOffenseDefense
Coastal Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 68th
-0.6
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position -1.4Finishing drives +0.8= -0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 110th · Finishing 53rd

Defensive EffRanked 68th
-0.6
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -0.5
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -0.5= -0.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 68th · Finishing 70th

2.34 points per drive on offense, 1.99 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(193)44% / 56%42%7.1
Q2(235)60% / 40%41%5.9
Q3(217)49% / 51%47%6.8
Q4(214)44% / 56%37%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(176)10.341%6.5
2nd(133)8.444%8.8
3rd(107)7.647%9.2
4th(12)4.725%2.4
All (428)43%7.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)9.639%4.5
2nd(154)7.940%5.9
3rd(66)5.247%4.2
4th(13)2.546%3.1
All (431)41%4.9

Coastal Carolina, all games.